Screen 3 / 6Conviction Timeline

Conviction compounds. It isn't granted.

Single-shot Red/Yellow/Green pretends conviction is a verdict. It isn't — it's a trajectory across multiple founder touchpoints. The shape of the curve is the signal.

Nilo · cumulative conviction
+1Last touchpoint +0
4 touchpoints
Range −3 to +3 per signal
0+30-1Deck Read2026-04-25+1Founder Call · 30m2026-04-30-1Reference · creator beta2026-05-02+1Tech Deep-Dive(scheduled)+0
Touchpoint 1
Deck Read
+1

Beautiful demo. Vision clear. But vision-only conviction caps at +1.

2026-04-25
Touchpoint 2
Founder Call · 30m
-1

Founder couldn't articulate what survives if OpenAI ships voice-Sora. Answered with vibe, not architecture.

2026-04-30
Touchpoint 3
Reference · creator beta
+1

Three early creators independently said the voice loop is genuinely magical. Anecdotal but consistent.

2026-05-02
Touchpoint 4
Tech Deep-Dive
+0

Pending. Founder offered NDA walkthrough; scheduling for week of May 12. Conviction remains capped until then.

(scheduled)
★ Vani Kola's lens

"Conviction is built by repeated truth-telling under pressure, not by a single beautiful slide. The founders who survive a decade do because we trusted them after the third hard call — not after the first."

We instrument the third hard call. Pedro — your existing process collapses this into one line in a spreadsheet. We give you the curve.